Surprise

In general, the race realist finds the world much less surprising than the average politically-correct person. However, sometimes, even the race realist is surprised:

A jaw-dropping 48 percent of black women between ages 14 and 49 have the virus which causes genital herpes, says the federal agency.

Advertisements

One Response to Surprise

  1. RS says:

    Surprise again! – white rate is only about 2x lower. But the majority of cases are asymptomatic.

    If you look at syphilis the difference is more like 60x. But that’s mainly just because syphilis has to spread very fast or not at all, on account of its being functionally a very briefly-persisting infection these days (due to curative therapy) …and because it is quite rare.

    Whatever scalar (or reasonably manageable vector) measure N you could devise for the connectivity of a sexual network, N would be partly but not entirely arbitrary, like the Pearson correlation coefficient is. And the function from N to the equilibrium prevalence of an illness in a network is very very different for each illness. For syphilis it’s an exponential-kaboom super sensitive function, and for genital herpes it’s a very modest one. For HIV, it’s intermediate. At least under USA conditions.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: