Randoms

– Ron Unz has another very good article up on race, crime and immigration. There’s really no reason not to read the whole thing. He covers race and crime:

Indeed, the race/crime correlation so substantially exceeds the poverty/crime relationship that much of the latter may simply be a statistical artifact due to most urban blacks being poor.

White and black voting patterns:

Empirically, the presence of blacks causes whites to vote the “law-and-order” Republican ticket, while the presence of Hispanics or Asians seems to have negligible political impact.

Immigration:

America’s ruling financial, media, and political elites are largely concentrated in three major urban centers—New York City, Los Angeles, and Washington, D.C.—and all three have contained large black populations, including a violent underclass. . . .

Thus, replacing a city’s blacks with immigrants would tend to lower local crime rates by as much as 90%, and during the 1990s American elites may have become increasingly aware of this important fact, together with the obvious implications for their quality of urban life and housing values. . . .

In May 2011 Bloomberg was interviewed on Meet the Press, and explained that if he had full authority, he could easily fix the seemingly insoluble problems of a city like Detroit at no cost to the taxpayer. He proposed opening wide the floodgates to unlimited foreign immigration on the condition that all the additional immigrants moved to Detroit and lived there for a decade or so, thereby transforming the city. I suspect this provides an important insight into how he and his friends discuss certain racial issues in private.

And New York’s ability to ignore the rules that other cities must follow:

Put another way, if America’s other cities with large black populations had somehow managed to achieve the same surprisingly low crime rates as New York City then most of the high racial crime correlations that have been the central findings of this article would disappear. Conversely, if New York City were excluded from our current national statistics, many of the existing racial crime correlations would exceed 0.90. These are objective facts and well-intentioned analysts who sharply criticize New York City policing methods should recognize that they may face some unpalatable choices.

None of these ideas are new to readers of Steve Sailer, but Unz documents them very well.

As with so many of Unz’s other articles, he says some strangely naive stuff. For example,

The topic of my article was “Hispanic crime” and my research findings were original and potentially an important addition to the public policy debate. Yet the black crime figures in my charts and graphs were so striking that I realized they might easily overshadow my other results, becoming the focus of an explosive debate that would inevitably deflect attention away from my central conclusion. Therefore, I chose to excise the black results, perhaps improperly elevating political prudence over intellectual candor.

I further justified this decision by noting that black crime in America had been an important topic of public discussion for at least the last half-century. I reasoned that my findings must surely have been quietly known for decades to most social scientists in the relevant fields, and hence would add little to existing knowledge.

If you can understand how he could simultaneously consider his findings explosive and well-known for decades, perhaps your IQ is as high as Unz’s.

Anyway, RTWT.

– In totally unrelated news, how to protect your kid in “urban” schools.

– Has anyone else noticed that every time a politician is actually acting like a libertarian, Reason calls him a racist? Maybe they should stick to writing about how awesome Somalia is.

– Detroit is an old subject around these parts, even if it’s suddenly interesting to everyone else. It’s worth pausing to consider the extent to which the fall of Detroit is another small bit of revenge from the Soviets.

The amount of totally retarded commentary on Detroit from the left is staggering. For example, Yglesias – who lives like 40 miles from Baltimore, home of Johns Hopkins University – thinks Detroit’s problem was lack of universities.

– Speaking of progressives beclowning themselves, their commentary on this map has also been pretty funny.

– The leftward drift of evangelicals.

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43 Responses to Randoms

  1. VXXC says:

    Given Unz’s CV – he’s actually achieved goals in part – his findings may be explosive because he found them. He *may* prove doing your homework with such pain staking preparation and detail is preparation meeting opportunity; Luck.

    It helps to be smart [he is] but it’s just part of the mix.

  2. Jefferson says:

    Bullying is the sin of the decade, to replace racism as the most important issue ever. Sailer thinks it’s for the gays, but it’s more for the SWPL kids who get “bullied” by their thug classmates.

    • Foseti says:

      “it’s more for the SWPL kids who get “bullied” by their thug classmates”

      That’s definitely what it’s for around me. White kids are using the local schools in increasing numbers and they some extra protection.

    • Sailer is right. It only became an issue because gays decided it should be. The contribution of SWPLs to the issue is negligible.

      • Foseti says:

        This stuff is starting in elementary schools around here. It’s not for the gay 6 year olds.

      • SOBL1 says:

        I take a longer view. Anti-bullying is the message massage for the future adults who will gladly support anti-free speech laws that will be cloaked as hate speech and protecting the oppressed groups.

    • James says:

      It looks to me like a progressive-friendly solution to a problem caused by progressivism.

      Bullying of children is so prevalent because of the perverse institution of mass étatiste schooling. The easiest way to eradicate bullying is to abolish these schools. The second best solution is for the étatiste schools to enforce normal discipline, wherein theft and prolonged, non-consensual violence meet with expulsion or corporal punishment. Outside schools, if not inside, theft and one-sided, non-consensual violence or harassment by children (let alone teenaged “children”) is illegal, not some special class of acceptable coercion that can only be resolved by vigilantism.

      The popular attitude of ambivalence towards “bullying” (i.e. violent crime by an intelligent and sapient entity) is anarcho-tyrannical, like the idea that negro thuggery admits of no easy solution. Because the best solutions to bullying are incompatible with progressive values, good intentions can only be expressed through inefficient and euphemistic initiatives.

    • Handle says:

      I’ve observed both, so Sailer’s not wrong, it’s just that he’s a little behind the latest evolution. In addition, there are new eradicationist ‘anti-hazing’ drives at colleges and in the military.

      It seems to me that I started hearing about this kind of thing nearly 8 years ago, and that it was mostly about the homosexual teenagers.

      Remember, the original point of ‘anti-bullying’ or anything like that is not, you know, to actually stop the bullying, but to create a cause of action whereby a purportedly aggrieved bullyee can sue, not the bullyer, but the taxpayer-funded deep-pocketed institution that purportedly failed to fulfill it’s responsibility to protect the complainant’s civil rights … or something.

      See, it’s the lawyers who create these fads and advocate for their implementation. And there’s almost always a breach of fiduciary duty involved in these settlements because they’re not really at arm’s length – whoever’s running the school is usually happy to ‘settle’ and funnel money from the taxpayers to some favored-identity student and say, “My hands were ties, what could I do?”

      For instance, Black surgeon to get $4.5 million in racial bias suit

      The same UC system that just hired Janet Napolitano for $600K a year. Read the story and repeat to yourself, “Four Point Five Million For That?” And Californians in general are responsible somehow? He’s a Black Surgeon – life in America’s been pretty good to him! What a sham.

      But SWPL parents aren’t dumb. They are very good at figuring out and adapting to the new rules of the king’s courtiers and asking themselves, “How can I leverage this fad to my own benefit?”

      And the answer has been to couple it to “The Plan” of gentrification and use it against not just black kids, but also the black teachers and administrators who would otherwise entrenched in these inner-city schools. (See, e.g. “06 – The Naked and the Bread” at Derb’s here)

      You can’t remove these people for merely normal incompetence or criminality, but when a politicized trend becomes a thing, well, a suit that says “they didn’t stop the bullying” is enough to get a district superintendent to have the paper-trail they need to actually remove these civil service barnacles. Plus, if it gets some schools to actually, you know, increase their discipline and gets a little protection for your orderly kids from violent, unruly blacks, well, all the better!

      Who’s going to get up and say, “Ahem, this whole ‘bullying’ thing, maybe you didn’t get the memo, but it was just a code word and a tactic meant to be used by us gays.” Nope – it takes on a life of its own.

  3. reader says:

    Unz, though, writes as if Hispanics are white, and they aren’t:

    http://sociobiologicalmusings.blogspot.com/2011/09/what-race-are-hispanics.html

    ..

    • Jefferson says:

      I didn’t get that at all. Seemed to me he was treating hispanics as if their crime rates are indistinguishable from that of Whites.

  4. joetexx says:

    “Therefore, I chose to excise the black results, perhaps improperly elevating political prudence over intellectual candor.”

    Grossly improper. Extremely inappropriate. Not the done thing at all.

    Yo should be ‘shamed o’ yo’self, Mr Unz.

  5. spandrell says:

    Unz is positing a choice between Mexico and South Africa. It’s obvious which is better but none is a great deal.

    • Foseti says:

      Nor is it clear why such a choice needs to be made – at least outside major cities, which may be the point.

      • Jefferson says:

        He paid some minor lip service, at the end, to a third option (good policing of the black community). Even still, Mexico isn’t all that bad of a place outside of the areas controlled by the narcoterrorists, or so I’ve heard…

    • SMERSH says:

      Mexico isn’t that bad (aside from the parts that are incredibly terrible because they are being terrorized by the cartels) but it also isn’t that good.

      And Mexico is not going to be colonizing Alpha Centauri any time soon.

      This is your future America. You could have avoided it.

    • alcestiseshtemoa says:

      I’m not US American but I’ll just chime in with my viewpoint.

      South Africa during apartheid was the most developed country in Africa. It’s now a failure. Now, it has reverted back to its 3rd world hellhole. And most South African blacks (Zulu, Bantu, etc.) under the direction of white liberal and Jewish corporations, NGOs, foreign aid and the like have been attacking and exterminating white South Africans, followed by their disdain for the colored (Indians, mixed, etc).

      Mexico is a 2nd world country on average and as a whole since most of it’s populace (around 80%) is mestizo and assimilated. The 10% white population tends to run the country though (so the management is better). Watch out for the 10% Native Amerindians (Aztecs), because those things are dangerous and backwards.

      If the choice is between the 3rd world and the 2nd world, I’m going for the 2nd world.

  6. josh says:

    That map article was pretty good. It reminds me of my favorite marginal revolution comment thread ever.

    http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2008/07/nfl-player-iq-b.html

  7. James says:

    Maybe they should stick to writing about how awesome Somalia is.

    The mainstream media are a fiercely independent and unfailingly rigorous source of cold facts, who take pedantic, almost excessive care to feed us raw information unsullied by emotive pictures, soundbites or perverse interpretation. Isn’t the sentence below helpful in disentangling cause and effect?

    Located in the Horn of Africa, the majority Sunni Muslim country suffers from an ineffective government, famine, disease, piracy, militant extremism, and frequent external intervention.

    • Alrenous says:

      1. A non-state is bad at being a state. Who knew?

      2. Somalis have been getting monotonically richer since 1991. For example they have more phones than neighbouring regions. (Check page 9.)

      Cattle trade with Kenya has improved dramatically, and the number of schools had almost doubled by 2005. In 1991 there was one university, and now there are five.

      3. In any case, most of Somalia is now under the jurisdiction of some violent dudes called the Muslim Brotherhood, who replace traditional Somalian Xeer with Sharia.

      4. Famine?!? In Africa?!?!?! NO WAY!

      5. “Early 90s” means just after the fall of government. Chaos = delta(power)

      6. “The turmoil spurned U.S. and international intervention, culminating in the Battle of Mogadishu in 1993”

      Turns out it sucks when the US government fucks with your country.

      7. “20 years later, there’s little improvement to show for the foreign intervention.”

      Yeah, Mogadishu – where the foreigners all are – still sucks. All the improvement was endogamous and elsewhere.

      8. “The life expectancy is just 51 years.”

      Before 1991, it was 45 years. In Kenya and Djibouti, it has gone down a stunning 15 years.

      9. “The maternal mortality rate is through the roof. 1,000 mothers die per 100,000 live births. ”

      In 1990, it was 1600.

      10. “Infant mortality is even worse. 101.9 children die per 1,000 live births.”

      In 1990, 152. Seeing a pattern?

      11. “Somalia is well known as the home country of the pirates who terrorize the key trade waters near the Horn of Africa.”

      ‘Terrorize’ in small boats you can sink with a handgun. They can even be fought off with water cannon, when your own government is preventing you from just shooting them.

      12. “Meanwhile, the Gross Domestic Product per capita is just $600.” While we all know how reliable and useful GDP is… hey, this one’s actually gone down.

      But, remember a physical in Somalia costs 50c. This is also hard to square with the increased phones and cattle trade etc… and the fact that extreme poverty has dropped from 60% to 43%.

      Hmm. Maybe there was this one really, really rich guy who was bringing up the average. Perhaps from legal looting.

      13. “Only 29% of the population has access to improved drinking water.”

      This one is the same as in 1990.

      14. “37.8% of the population over the age of 15 can read and write.”

      24% in 1990.

      Of course Somalia sucks compared to the west. But compared to, say, Somalia, it’s been doing incredibly well.

      I contend that maybe we should try this no-government thing in the west sometime. On a small scale, though, not a whole country at once. There’s no reason to think we wouldn’t see commensurate improvements, especially if power was handed away gently instead of violently.

      • James says:

        This, except that experimentation is unlikely to work as well as you imply, because of the grand distributed order’s extreme inertia. The act of trying out a new polycentric order would itself set many changes irrevocably in motion.

      • Alrenous says:

        Hey! You’re not supposed to mention that. (Why do you think I want to try it?)

        Similarly, I’m sure those in power are well aware that even a single small town not subject to their rule would have an Emperor’s New Clothes effect. “Huh, these guys aren’t wearing any government, and not only isn’t the sky falling…”

        Actually, that’s why they hate Somalia so much. It’s got the Emperor’s New Clothes thing going on already.

  8. Randy Miller says:

    “If you can understand how he could simultaneously consider his findings explosive and well-known for decades, perhaps your IQ is as high as Unz’s.”

    Social scientists lie to the public. Or, he was afraid that he results would coincide with the need for a ritualistic public sacrifice of a heretic, ala Richwine.

  9. Tarl says:

    In May 2011 Bloomberg was interviewed on Meet the Press, and explained that if he had full authority, he could easily fix the seemingly insoluble problems of a city like Detroit at no cost to the taxpayer. He proposed opening wide the floodgates to unlimited foreign immigration on the condition that all the additional immigrants moved to Detroit and lived there for a decade or so, thereby transforming the city.

    So where does he think the blacks will go? They have to go somewhere. Are they being moved out to the white suburbs via Section 8? I don’t exactly call that a solution… it’s merely transferring the problem somewhere else.

    Can’t imagine why any prospective immigrant would take the “live in Detroit for ten years and get citizenship” when right now they can live anywhere they want and get citizenship via the inevitable periodic amnesty.

    • Randy Miller says:

      Here’s a theorum for consideration: In general, if an immigrant group would improve an area, they won’t want to move there, because the area they came from will, by nature of being a product of an immigrant which would be an improvement to the prospective area, necessarily be better than it.

      Exceptions may exist, but probably entail said immigrant intending to cleanse the native population.

    • Handle says:

      “So where does he think the blacks will go”?

      I give my explanation over a Nick Land’s here. Good comment thread over there too.

      • Tarl says:

        I’m increasingly convinced that entropy dissipation theories of demographic redistribution capture the basics of what is going on.

        What does that mean? What are those theories?

        (TLTG)

      • Handle says:

        So, what Land is talking about is a consequence of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, which implies that entropy is always increasing. The question for us then is whence the intricate molecular order ubiquitous in our biosphere? “Entropy Dissipation” is Land’s way of saying that order can be increased locally inside a system by the use of energy and the more-than-equal compensation increase of entropy outside that system. One example could be “evaporative cooling” where all the wild, radical, high-energy, molecules boil off leaving the high-order cool crystal behind.

        So, in the demographic context in (a bit of a strained) sociological analogy – to create more concentrated local order in the urban core requires us to ‘dissipate’ the entropy – or remove the anti-social contributors of disorder.

        I prefer to think of this in Economic and Psychological Terms rather than Physical, as being a potential slow-roll solution to a Coordination Problem and resulting from the asymmetries of both Neighborhood (Externality) Impacts and Network Effects

        If it weren’t for politics, most of Southeast DC would be immediately bought up by a private development company (not suffering under ‘affordable housing’ mandates), the people living there paid off and moved elsewhere, and the land razed to the ground to build new townhouses and condos and fancy apartments at Georgetown levels of profit. You could say the same for Harlem.

        Private companies with access to lots of financing capacity can solve coordination problems as well, if not better, than any government. Gentrification would be immediate and certain instead of an excruciating slow and risky process if it weren’t for political obstructions and Economic Asymmetries.

      • Alrenous says:

        Gloating is unseemly, but just this once…

        “and the old-school Urban-Black-Machine bosses (Marion Berry) who are trying to use every political trick in the book to fight “The Plan” and keep things as they are and preserve the black character of their shrinking vote-bank wards.”

        Proggies betrayed the poor, and now they’re betraying the blacks. Suck it, proggie allies, you’re next!

        Though this is why I’m not worried about immigration. Proggies will betray the immigrants in due course, before they threaten serious disruption.

  10. Toddy Cat says:

    “Unz is positing a choice between Mexico and South Africa. It’s obvious which is better but none is a great deal.”

    Personally, I’d rather live in America, but it seems that this isn’t an option.

    • VXXC says:

      We didn’t get to live in America by our ancestors wringing their hands, or cringing at what was necessary. For such creatures can live happily and safe only in Utopia – nowhere.

  11. Will S. says:

    Thanks for the linkage.

  12. Toddy Cat says:

    A quote from Reuther, after working in a Soviet auto plant in 1935;

    “”the atmosphere of freedom and security, shop meetings with their proletarian industrial democracy; all these things make an inspiring contrast to what we know as Ford wage slaves in Detroit. What we have experienced here has reeducated us along new and more practical lines.”

    Right in the heart of Stalin’s glory years. And this guy led the most influential unions in the U.S. Come back, Tail Gunner Joe, all is forgiven…

  13. asdf says:

    I stopped being lazy long enough to write a blog post:

    http://anastasiusx.wordpress.com/2013/07/24/motivation-and-huxley/

  14. Tarl says:

    The RFK Center for Anti-Bullying is unintentionally ironic, given that RFK was a nasty, bullying son of a bitch until the day he died…

  15. Five Daarstens says:

    Off Topic:

    A good music video by Cold Play for Neo Reactionaries:

  16. ashr says:

    Randall Munroe offered a sly criticism of maps of this kind: http://xkcd.com/1138/

  17. Jqwan says:

    If it weren’t for politics, most of Southeast DC would be immediately bought up by a private development company (not suffering under ‘affordable housing’ mandates), the people living there paid off and moved elsewhere, and the land razed to the ground to build new townhouses and condos and fancy apartments at Georgetown levels of profit. You could say the same for Harlem

    Wrong. This is probably the biggest blind spot in modern political economy, and, despite the fact that Moldberg has made passing mention of the dynamics involved, the reactionaries seem to remain blind to it. The property lobby is the most powerful lobby in any country and they profit from hoarding land and restricting the supply of buildings. This is the deadweight loss caused by monopoly pricing.

    Zoning started in NYC in ~1916?, when communists, women and latent homosexuals began complaining about the buildings being too tall and too close together for their tastes. The city’s landlords quickly realized they could use these sentiments to eliminate their competition by manipulating the real estate market, which is why Brooklyn is still full of brownstones and not skyscrapers like Hong Kong. It was such a good idea that a few years later Hoover suddenly took an interest in city planning on a national scale and by the 1920s we had zoning laws and Soviet planning committees popping up all over the country (and we can uselessly point out that this was a brazen violation of the Takings Clause in many instances).

    Rent belongs to the sovereign. No exceptions. Otherwise, you will have market failure and find yourself ruled by useless dilettantes. After all, it requires no special competence or personal power to simply own land, and yet this is the most profitable activity there is.

    I might also point out that many of the grievances that Charles Murray outlines in Coming Apart, particularly the emasculation of the lower class male, can be directly attributed to this economic failure.

  18. […] on religion and reaction, Foseti on the Zimmerman aftermath, and Foseti on […]

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